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2016 Postmortem

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LonePirate

(13,437 posts)
Thu Oct 27, 2016, 06:15 PM Oct 2016

For anyone needing some LOLs, check out Benchmark/ShareBlue's California county map [View all]

http://benchmark.shareblue.com/california/

Benchmark updated their California map today and it's all good news for those of us on Team Blue! They project Hillary at +26.9% statewide and I think that estimate may be low.

The big news from them today is that Orange County, home to 3 million people and the center of the Republican Party in California, has flipped blue for the first time. For comparison, Romney won Orange County in 2012 with 51.9% to Obama's 45.6%.

Now here's where the fun begins. Hillary leads in Los Angeles County (10 million people) by 46%. She could possibly win the county by 50 points (something like 73-23-4 other). Even with that outcome, LA County probably won't be Hillary's largest margin in the state. For that honor, she will need to head to the San Francisco Bay area. Here are the current projections for her in some of those counties:

Alameda (Oakland): +64%
Contra Costa: +41%
Marin: +58%
Santa Clara (San Jose): +46%
San Francisco: +74%
San Mateo: +52%
Sonoma: +52%

The race may be tight in some states but California is going to be an epic blowout for Hillary on November 8. There might even be several Republican held House seats like Issa's which flip if those margins are maintained or increased.

We just need that California attitude to spread east!
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