Democratic Primaries

TidalWave46

(2,061 posts)

36. What does that have to do with a surge.

Reply to corbettkroehler (Original post)

Wed Dec 11, 2019, 12:32 PM

Dec 2019

I hear people keep talking about a surge and then deflecting from it with data that doesn't back it up, as has been done here.

I hear that the popularity of Hitler increased in Charleston SC on the evening of the White Nationalist march. Statistics are so easily abused by those who don't understand them.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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No Sanders Surge? New Quinnipiac Poll: Primary Voters Under 35 Favor Bernie By YUGE Margin [View all] corbettkroehler Dec 2019 OP

Thanks! JoeOtterbein Dec 2019 #1

Damn straight!! We've talked about gettin young people involved in the political process for SO long InAbLuEsTaTe Dec 2019 #10

Now all he has to do is get young voters to show up and vote. brooklynite Dec 2019 #2

Also that poll doesn't include just Democratic voters still_one Dec 2019 #3

Good Catch - I Have Corrected My Post's Title corbettkroehler Dec 2019 #6

It is primary preference for Dem and Dem leaning voters. What point are you making? (n/t) thesquanderer Dec 2019 #12

To Be Fair, My Original Post Title Included The Word "Dem" But Should Not Have corbettkroehler Dec 2019 #26

Though this particular question was asked only of Dems and Dem-leaners. (n/t) thesquanderer Dec 2019 #40

Independents are included, and i remain skeptical on the criteria of "leaning" still_one Dec 2019 #34

criteria "self-identified". Someone could lie, but why? Especially before they hear the questions? thesquanderer Dec 2019 #39

It is just my view. I also give little weighting at this stage of national polls, and from what i still_one Dec 2019 #42

re: "those who indicate they could change their mind" thesquanderer Dec 2019 #50

Yes it is interesting still_one Dec 2019 #51

Absolutely... and Bernie WILL!! InAbLuEsTaTe Dec 2019 #11

Exactly who votes is vital. guillaumeb Dec 2019 #4

The question is whether the parents will let them borrow the car to get to the polls to vote? TexasTowelie Dec 2019 #5

Will Do - But The Caucus And Primary Infrastructure Is Far Superior This Cycle corbettkroehler Dec 2019 #7

I'm still dubious as to whether any of these polling numbers TexasTowelie Dec 2019 #25

Point Taken - The Campaign's Millions Of Voter Contact Attempts Are More Important corbettkroehler Dec 2019 #29

Voter contact attempts do not equate to voters. TexasTowelie Dec 2019 #49

He doesn't lead in any other age group Renato ray Dec 2019 #8

im in wash state.... we are all mail in so.. samnsara Dec 2019 #28

Right.. nor in the overall poll... Thekaspervote Dec 2019 #41

The customary "younger voter" demographic has been 18-29 years old, I wonder why.... George II Dec 2019 #9

In 2016 Primary, Sanders Drew More Young Voters Than Clinton And Trump Combined corbettkroehler Dec 2019 #13

This confirms that by just appealing to younger voters one can't win. George II Dec 2019 #15

The Point Was Pulling Young Voters corbettkroehler Dec 2019 #20

...and still lost the Primary brooklynite Dec 2019 #19

By the way, overall the Quinnipiac results are... George II Dec 2019 #14

There's Been A Blanket Denial Of The Existence Of ANY Sanders Surge Here On DU corbettkroehler Dec 2019 #21

Right!! He polls well with those that have a dismal voting record Thekaspervote Dec 2019 #43

And that same group pays the least attention to the campaign. honest.abe Dec 2019 #16

Oh, Right, That's Why Sanders Crushed The 2016 Primary With Young Voters corbettkroehler Dec 2019 #22

I wonder what the total % turnout of young voters was, and how it compared with other age groups. George II Dec 2019 #24

When It Comes To This Question - Don't Know, Don't Care (n/t) corbettkroehler Dec 2019 #30

You literally just argued against and for the same poll. TidalWave46 Dec 2019 #37

These numbers are for the 2016 General Election, but I don't think primary voters would change much: George II Dec 2019 #27

I s'pose stripping away so many other relevant demographics to achieve one favorable result LanternWaste Dec 2019 #17

Indeed - see my post #14! George II Dec 2019 #18

He Went From Heart Attack To Crushing His Rivals With Voters Under 35 In 6 Weeks But Didn't Surge? corbettkroehler Dec 2019 #23

It isn't a surge if more of the older voters changed their minds TexasTowelie Dec 2019 #31

Post removed Post removed Dec 2019 #33

A one-group surge Renato ray Dec 2019 #32

It Was Far Worse Than That corbettkroehler Dec 2019 #44

I don't think anyone is trying to dissuade you Thekaspervote Dec 2019 #47

An important demographic yes... but one that obviously could care less if they vote!!! Thekaspervote Dec 2019 #45

In 2016 Bernie won more under 30 votes than Trump and Hillary combined -- by a lot. pnwmom Dec 2019 #35

What does that have to do with a surge. TidalWave46 Dec 2019 #36

This message was self-deleted by its author TidalWave46 Dec 2019 #38

Your assertion isn't supported by your evidence. OilemFirchen Dec 2019 #46

Message auto-removed Name removed Dec 2019 #48