''It means you're going to lose.''

[booley]

20. I think the non voters will matter more

while there were Bernie Sanders voters who switched to Trump, as has been pointed out these don't constitute anything unusual. More Hillary Clinton supporters went to McCain in 2008. But no one remembers that because Obama could inspire people t get to the polls. If Sanders is the nominee, expect a certain % of Biden and Buttigieg supporters to go to Trump in the general. Though I expect it to not matter for the same reason it didn't' matter in 2008.

I think it's the people who stayed home in 2016 that will matter more. Ultimately those people are why Clinton lost. She couldn't' convince them to vote. (and for the record, yes I put the blame for that on Clinton)

Sanders is specifically targeting them and it looks like it's working. Not just with young people but with red-state voters who feel abandoned by the Democratic party.

Sanders has always been able to drum up enthusiasm. And unlike 2016, he has built up the infrastructure.