Why Kerry WILL Win... [View All]

[friesianrider]

By Susan Page, USA Today


Likely voters who cast a ballot in 2000 lean toward Bush, 50%-46%, according to USA TODAY/CNN/Gallup surveys during the past four months. But likely voters who didn't go to the polls four years ago are overwhelmingly for Kerry, 59%-40% .

These get-off-the-bench voters could be a decisive factor in the election, and they introduce an unpredictable element in a close race. There probably will be more of them than usual: Fifty-two percent of those who didn't vote in 2000 say they are almost certain to go to the polls this year - though only half of them meet the survey criteria to be identified as "likely voters." (Related link:Take the likely voter quiz)


Janis Jones, 46, of Prichard, Ala., can't recall why she didn't vote four years ago. "Maybe it was raining that day," she suggests. But she is determined to vote this time, rain or shine.


"I feel like the economy is worse than the last time there was an election," she says. "Maybe a change might make things better. It can't make things worse."

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Iraq has persuaded Kay Takahashi, 57, a retired small-business owner from Seattle, to vote against Bush. "Because of the war, or so-called un-war, that's what's prompting me to vote," she says.


The death this month of actor Christopher Reeve, who criticized Bush's limits on funding for stem cell research, could be a reason, too. "With Superman - Christopher Reeve - passing away, it hits a lot of people who weren't planning to vote," Takahashi says.
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Seriously, do you know ANYONE who doesn't have an opinion about this election and doesn't want to vote? I'm sure * will pick up a few new voters, but I'd bet money that anti-* sentiment will garner at least twice as many for Kerry.

These new voters aren't reflected AT ALL in these polls we keep seeing (such as Gallup), although the majority of polls only have * up by 1 or 2 points.

We got this, guys. All we have to do is make sure we GOTV on Tuesday!