Can The Democrats Win If The Economy Stabilizes And The Situation [View All]

[DemocratSinceBirth]

in Iraq is stabilized.

I was watching tv this morning and I saw a Gallup Poll that showed Reagan's populatity in August of 1983 was 43%. He went on to win forty nine states and 59% of the vote.

A brief history of the Reagan years. He inherited a crappy economy from Jimmy Carter and proceeded to make it worse. In fact the Republicans lost twenty six House seats in the 82 mid term elections. However the economy started to turn around in the Spring of 84 which allowed Reagan to run a "Morning in America" campaign that buried Mondale.

What if the economy turns around and the situation in Iraq is stabilized; whatever that means ,will Bush be reelected.

Political scientists have a theory called retrospective voting. Folks look back on the tenure of the incumbent and ask themselves if he did a good job and are they better off and vote accordingly.

If the economy turns around and Iraq is stabilized