Reply #39: That's cheating [View All]

[Nederland]

It's like saying: "You're going to die." Eventually you will be right.

The real trick is getting the timing right. If you say to a person who is 30, you need to spend ten million dollars on X or you will die next year, and you are wrong, you've done that person a great disservice. The fact that the person eventually dies at age 70 is irrelevant--you've still done them a great disservice.

And by that measure, predictions of civilization's collapse have a horrible track record, and have done a great disservice to those that bought into them.