Reply #54: It's hard to say. [View All]

[bemildred]

Things happen over years and decades.

You can look at long term trends and events like VietNam
or Afghanistan (for the USSR) and say that things are not
going in the right direction, that blood and treasure are
being thrown down a rathole, but you can't say when or how
change will occur.

Who could predict TienAnMien square, the Velvet Revolution,
the accomodation in S. Africa, the fall of the Berlin Wall,
the peaceful dissolution of the Soviet empire?

It seems perfectly clear to me that US hegemony is coming to
an end, and that the fool in the White House and his minions
are accellerating the process. I have held the former view
since the 70s, based on VietNam and readings of Ms Tuchman and
other historians of political folly. It has been interesting of
late to see some political thinkers of a more professional
quality than I coming to the same view.

With the fall of US hegemony come other consequences of a
pleasant nature, the entire WTO-IMF-Globaloney structure comes
down, the US has been it's primary instigator and enforcer.
What it will be replaced with? Who can say? It is probably
wise not to get too dewy-eyed.