Reply #5: I'll continue to challenge any blatant exaggerations [View All]

[Awsi Dooger]

2 points is possible based on those factors and others, 6 points is outer space.

The turnout issue is the most valid you raised. Particularly if we can energize the 18-24 year old bracket. It's often mentioned that group votes in much lesser percentage than any other age bracket, about 31% in 2000. But in many states it was considerably lower than that, something like 21% or 22% in the states of New Mexico and Arizona, for example. Our registration drives have been zeroing in on the youth vote.

Otherwise, major polling firms are aware of the cell phone issue and take that into account, as much as possible. Less than 10% of households are cell phone only, probably 6-8% according to most estimates. That group is considered the 25 and under crowd, for the most part. It's much more vital we get them registered and to the polls than have them included in pre election polls.