Reply #5: He Goes With The Most Recent Polls [View All]

[KharmaTrain]

Those groups do them constantly where his other sources do them once a week or two week. Remember he's using specific state polls not the rolling national ones that the Cable channels use.

Tomorrow there should be a fresh batch of state polls from various newspapers that should be very telling. Also you'll see more updating as these organizations and the big pollsters start doing more and more polling in the key battlegrounds.

Until now the battlegrounds have been a loose vision based on how things were in 2000, now a firmer picture is coming into shape. For example, Michigan has been solid Kerry all year and now has been moved out of that catagory. Colorado is now in play. As it becomes clearer where the real swing states.

Also, I've noticed some states (especially Red states in the west) haven't been polled in weeks or months. There can't be as strong support for his assholiness in some of those places (Alaska for example) and this won't be figured in at all, just assumed based on the 2000 vote.

One of the big stories of this election will be the massive disconnect the media and pollsters have had with the voters. They haven't kept up with changes in lifestyles and technology and the population in general.

Recently I heard a program that says how grossly underestimated the young vote will be and how large it is. Many of these kids are the children of baby boomers...the largest population bulge that came of age in the 70's...now their children are doing the same. This person predicted the votes cast this year could clear 125 million (I'll settle for 120).