Reply #30: Relatively but not absolutely safe [View All]

[progressive_realist]

My point was that the Republicans are entering this campaign season with a severe handicap. Many of their states are vulnerable and very few of ours are (Minnesota, Wisconsin, Oregon, and Hawaii are about it). If I have to pick a single critical battleground state on which this election will hinge, I pick Wisconsin. The Democratic margin of victory has been getting smaller and smaller there, and the Republicans absolutely have to win there if they are to have any hope at all of capturing the Presidency. They are going to pour every available resource into the Iowa--Minnesota--Wisconsin triangle. Unless something dramatic changes, I think that region is where the 2008 election will be decided.