Reply #6: Our nervous NY establishment [View All]

[PATRICK]

hasn't been very effective at anything lately. However, Edwards is likely not to have the time or ability to reach a winning number- which he might have done under different circumstances. I think he will close the gap significantly, but in order to win the nomination, something has to break into the winning column on Super Tuesday or his real momentum and superior campaigning or better message will simply be reduced to hypotheticals at best.

IF Kerry were to debate Edwards one on one and that were seen by voters here, that would seem the most likely possibility for Edwards to win. He is asking for such a debate.

New York does like getting ornery about things and will vote for Southerners and perceived winners, something different and shaking especially in times like these. Carter, Clinton, Jesse Jackson, Kennedys.

As for the "soft" poll, you'd better believe it! most of it is due entirely for the "inevitability" factor. Once it dawns on people it is a horse race it may change significantly especially with people giving Edwards a serious consideration.