THE LATEST MATH... (now includes Mich and Fla!) [View All]

[kay1864]

1. Based on the CQPolitics article http://news.yahoo.com/s/cq/20080529/pl_cq_politics/politics2884993_1 if Fla and Mich are seated (probably at half a vote per delegate), with the proposed Michigan "compromise" plan, we get:

Obama___Clinton
__80*____105____Fla
__59______69____Mich

(sorry for the underscores--only way I know to line up numbers in a DU post :P)

*Assumes Edwards' delegates are counted for Obama, due to Edwards' endorsement

2. Using CNN's delegate calculator http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/02/29/delegate.counter/index.html, with Puerto Rico 60% Clinton, and Montana and South Dakota each 56% Obama, we get:

Obama___Clinton
_2018____1826

3. Adding totals from above:
_2157____2000

4. BUT with Mich and Fla included, the delegate totals have now changed, so now it takes 2210 to win, not 2026. So superdelegates needed are now:
___53_____210


Feel free to check my math :hi: