Reply #16: does overconfidence historically inspire people to vote? [View All]

[foo_bar]

I think the key unstated assumption is "if the election were held tomorrow", except TIA's headline reads "99% PROBABILITY Dems will win over 30 GOP House seats - IF NO FRAUD!" (I can't link the original post since it's against DU rules, and I'm neither clever nor devious enough to invoke spiritual powers), so the assumption might be "if nothing at all happens in the next three weeks except fraud". Either way it's worth the comic relief, so hats off to TIA in his quest to be right just this one time, which must be as statistically inevitable as the truthfulness of a stopped clock.