Reply #6: You're using WEIGHTED results for 1996 [View All]

[flintdem]

Here are the weighted and unweighted resulted for VNS 1996 National Exit Poll (first column shows with missing data and second without missing data).

Weighted:
Clinton 48.3 49.1 N=8037
Dole 40.0 40.6 N=6644
Perot 8.3 8.5 N=1384
Other 1.8 1.8 N=294
Missing 1.6 -- N=271


Unweighted:
Clinton 51.4 52.2 N=8550
Dole 36.9 37.5 N=6133
Perot 8.5 8.6 N=1407
Other 1.7 1.7 N=285
Missing 1.6 -- N=262

It shows a 2.9% skew toward Clinton from the actual election results.


Voter News Service. VOTER NEWS SERVICE GENERAL
ELECTION EXIT POLLS, 1996 .
ICPSR version. New York, NY: Voter News Service
, 1996. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-
university Consortium for Political and Social
Research , 1997.