Reply #4: I think that may actually be a mistake [View All]

[OnTheOtherHand]

I totally endorse the premise that exit polls can be wrong, but either Coker or the writer seems confused about the age weightings. The final weighted results show 17% 18-29.* The exit poll interviewers actually try to keep tabs on refusals by rough age range, so they aren't likely to be so far off on Florida. Where does Coker get 13%? No clue. Dunno, I could be missing something -- I don't have that dataset on this computer.

The exit poll estimate put Bush ahead in Florida by 1.1 points, so I don't know why someone would choose that as the state to discuss anyway.

What kinds of errors did you see in Florida? I think it has gotten somewhat less attention than Ohio because it was less close, and because the initial quantitative arguments for fraud didn't pan out.

"This is the first time I've seen the argument that Republican votes were not counted."

I can't tell what you're looking at, so I won't try to reply.

* EDIT TO ADD: since I don't have the data here, I'm relying on the CNN.com tabulation.