Reply #172: Nobody is asking you to open another front. [View All]

[gcomeau]

It's the exact same freaking scenario. I'll even make it to the letter if you want.

"I have two children. One is a boy born on a Tuesday."

There happy?

Now, all I'm doing is asking you a different question ABOUT that situation. Unless my asking a different question about it bends reality this is not a "different front", it's just forcing you to look at the EXACT SAME INFORMATION from a different angle. I'll even leave the "born on a Tuesday" in there and it still won't change a single thing.

Now, what is the probability that boy has an older sibling, and what is the probability he has a younger sibling? Is it, or is it not, 50/50 given what you have been told?