Reply #61: National Polls Mean Nothing In State Primaries [View All]

[KharmaTrain]

Each state is different...different issues, different people and different number of delegates. That's what counts.

I've done my share of polling and the numbers change every time I go out or start calling. One day candidate A could be on top, the next time it's Candidate.

These numbers are used by the chattering class like the odds in a sporting contest...and has little merit on the overall delegate counts that will determine who the nominee is. Even if a candidate wins 100% of the vote, there are "at large" delegates who represent the party aparatus who aren't binding to either the polls or the vote...thus let the reader beware.

If you choose a candidate by how well the "poll", don't bother to vote. We're looking for the next leader of this country, not a winner of American Idol.