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mnhtnbb

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Gender: Female
Hometown: NYC
Home country: USA
Current location: Durham, NC
Member since: Sat May 7, 2005, 11:13 PM
Number of posts: 29,603

Journal Archives

Alito doesn't know history, doesn't know science,

doesn't know shit. All he knows is what he wants to know, whether it's factual or not, that will support his particular religious belief system.

Abortion was commonly accepted from the time of the Pilgrims in the Colonies through about the mid to late1800's. Pregnant women used primarily abortifacients, not surgical procedures. It was allowed up until " quickening" when a woman could feel movement of the fetus.

Acceptance of abortion began to decline when white male physicians started to take over care of pregnant women from midwives and were less than sympathetic to women wanting to control the size of their families, or avoid the significant risks associated with childbirth.

It has always been about white male control of women in this country.

https://www.americanprogress.org/article/scarlet-letters-getting-the-history-of-abortion-and-contraception-right/

https://teachingsocialstudies.org/2022/02/11/midwifery-and-abortion-in-the-modern-curriculum/

https://www.cnn.com/2016/06/23/health/abortion-history-in-united-states/index.html

If it's clear, I go outside at night

before going to bed, to sit and watch the stars--sometimes to catch a shooting one --and listen to the night sounds. Frogs croaking, owls hooting, and occasionally coyotes moving through the woods, yipping as they go.

It is very calming.

Three views of sunset





The lack of civility in this country has risen to the level of international embarrassment

broadcast around the world on live television at the Oscars last night.

It's been going on for years now. 'Karens' rudely confronting people of color, or gay, or speaking a language other than English. Racists or misogynists or elder abusers hitting people on the street, pushing people off subway platforms into oncoming trains. MAGATs hurling insults at people for being in favor of various civil rights. Stalking and killing physicians who provide abortions.

Last night was a symptom of the disease that has infected our society. The joke Chris Rock told last night at Jada Pinkett Smith's expense would have been ok if she had told it on herself. If she'd said, 'don't I look like I could play the next GI Jane?', it would have been funny. But that isn't what happened. Instead, Rock insulted her, and instead of Will Smith inviting Chris Rock to take it outside or meet him at dawn with pistols as he would have in days gone by, he just immediately acted on his anger.

What happened last night was a tragedy and represented a true fall from grace. On a night when Will Smith was recognized by his peers for his performance in a film as being the best from any leading actor in any other film all year, he chose to let his anger destroy the beauty of that moment. That is a true tragedy.

It's a symptom of the breakdown of our society. We have lost our ability to react reasonably to any kind of slight or to tolerate people with whom we disagree. Frankly, I don't see how we are going to come back from this and that represents a national tragedy.

Demand from home buyers remains robust

The number of homes for sale in February was down by almost half from the immediate pre-pandemic period two years ago, helping push housing costs up across the board throughout the transformative, two-year pandemic era. Rents are up by hundreds of dollars per month and home values up by almost a third over the same span, according to the February 2022 Zillow Monthly Market Report.

But still, despite the rapidly rising costs, demand from home buyers remains robust, with listings flying off the market and sales stronger than pre-pandemic levels.

The key metric driving these historic hikes is inventory. There were roughly 730,000 homes for sale nationwide in February, compared to 1.4 million in February 2020. Historically, inventory has generally bottomed out in December and then rebounded as sellers listed their homes in preparation for the busy spring shopping season. But this year, supply has continued to dwindle well into the new year and inventory was 11.9% lower in February than in January.

Of the 50 largest U.S. metros, those with the largest inventory deficit since 2020 are Raleigh (-69.7%), Hartford (-63%), Providence (-61.8%) and Miami (-61%). Those seeing the smallest decrease are San Francisco (-7.8%), San Jose (-17.9%) and Austin (-26.9%).


https://www.zillow.com/research/february-2022-market-report-30843/


It's crazy out there and classic demand/supply dynamics. I live in Durham--adjacent to Raleigh with the largest inventory deficit since 2020--and I watch the real estate market on a regular basis. I've watched Zillow predict the value of the house I bought--to be constructed--in April 2020 rise 39% since then! Yikes. The builder of my development is getting ready to open a new phase later this summer with another 68 homes and I suspect they will be throwing darts at where to start the pricing. They are currently selling homes in nearby Cary, with starting prices for the same floor plans at more than $100K higher than where pricing started when I bought just two years ago. And most people aren't buying the bare bones houses; most of my neighbors have spent $50-100K more on upgrades!

Here's a link to another article which suggests it's going to be another two years before inventory rises to pre-pandemic levels.
https://www.zillow.com/research/zhpe-q1-2022-inventory-returns-30878/

Of course, Putin may have blown us all up by then.

Unlike 2008, inventory is a big part of the problem this time.

This is a good read and I recommend the entire article.

The wounds from the Great Recession of the mid-2000s are still healing, especially when it comes to housing. An estimated 10 million people lost their homes to foreclosure from 2006 to 2014, following a period of frenzied and speculative homebuying fueled by easy credit. The housing market is yet again on a tear with home prices up nearly 19% nationally compared with last year, and that has people rightfully worried that another housing bubble is brewing.

Unlike the last housing boom, one could argue that home price growth since the start of the pandemic was justifiable. The demographics of the U.S. were already supporting housing growth and the desire to own only increased as people saved more and spent more time at home. The lifestyle change brought on by the pandemic caused many Americans to reassess their living arrangements, including some renters that turned into house hunters and some existing homeowners that sold to move into a larger home.

The jump in homebuying demand hit right as existing housing supply declined rapidly for a variety of reasons, including fear of COVID-19. Homebuilders, most of whom became more prudent following the last cycle, were cautious with how many homes they were bringing to the market, resulting in equally tight new home inventory.

The supply and demand mismatch pushed prices upward, but that was just the tip of the iceberg for rising home values. Some Americans became much wealthier over the past year following a 31% run-up in the S&P 500 and a nearly 20% jump in home equity. Others became wealthier on a relative basis as remote work led to increased migration, often from higher cost areas to lower cost ones.

Further, safety measures have been put in place since the Great Recession to help prevent a similar housing collapse. Mortgage credit availability is starkly tighter than in the mid-2000s and the often more risky adjustable rate mortgages represent less than 5% of total purchase and refinanced loans compared with over 35% at the peak of the last cycle.

https://fortune.com/2021/09/09/housing-bubble-2008-market-correction-great-recession/

Duke University leading national study to assess effectiveness of Ivermectin

as a treatment for COVID-19.

This was the above the fold front page article in the Raleigh News & Observer this morning.

Doctors at Duke University are leading a national study to test whether three drugs will effectively treat COVID-19, including one that has generated controversy for more than a year. Ivermectinís potential to treat COVID-19 has been both celebrated and ridiculed. Some consider it a miracle drug that makes vaccination against the coronavirus unnecessary. But most in the medical establishment, including government regulators, say thereís not enough proof that it works and warn that self-medicating with ivermectin can make people sick in other ways. The Duke study, launched last summer, is the kind of comprehensive assessment of ivermectinís ability to combat COVID-19 that has been missing up to now, said Dr. Adrian Hernandez, one of the studyís leaders.

Ivermectin is one of three drugs that Duke is testing under ACTIV-6, one of a series of studies of potential COVID-19 treatments and vaccines launched by the National Institutes of Health.

The two other drugs being tested in the ACTIV-6 study are fluvoxamine, used to treat obsessive-compulsive disorder and depression, and fluticasone furoate, an inhaler medicine prescribed for asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease or COPD.

Researchers are looking for evidence that the drugs either shorten the time people feel sick or prevent them from getting worse and needing to be hospitalized.

For information about the ACTIV-6 study, go to activ6study.org/.



Read more at: https://www.newsobserver.com/news/coronavirus/article257483164.html#storylink=cpy

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