Wavelight
Wavelight's JournalAre the polls wrong?
What to make of this... Provides some perspective outside of traditional polls
https://fortune.com/2020/10/14/polls-trump-biden-presidential-race-artificial-intelligence/?fbclid=IwAR3ro9cJm22aA8aN4wpkDC5fMBFKFsbZ4rxyVcXqEeCg1SUwWbOAlYfGX-Q
Florida: A+ rated Marist poll
Fla.
Aug 31-Sep 6, 2020
766 LV
Marist College
Biden-48%
Trump-48%
Fla.
Aug 31-Sep 6, 2020
1,047 RV
Marist College
Biden-47%
Trump-48%
Fing Florida always keeping things interesting
A+ Rated Marist Poll Added Today! Biden +11
General Election:
Biden - 53%
Trump - 42%
[link:https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/national/|
Speculation over Biden's VP pick grows after list of DNC speakers released
Source: KRON4
MILWAUKEE, Wisc. (KRON) The Democratic National Convention is now less than a week away.
The theme will be Uniting America.
Speakers of various backgrounds are scheduled to speak at next weeks convention.
CNNs Dan Merica reports the following speakers:
Monday: Bernie Sanders, Andrew Cuomo, Gretchen Whitmer, John Kasich, Amy Klobuchar, Michelle Obama
Tuesday: Chuck Schumer, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Bill Clinton, Jill Biden
Wednesday: Nancy Pelosi, Elizabeth Warren, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton
Thursday: Joe Biden, Tammy Duckworth, Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, Cory Booker
Speculation started to grow after the apparent list of speakers was released, with some noting that potential VP nominees Susan Rice, Karen Bass, and Val Demings were not included.
Read more: https://www.kron4.com/news/your-local-election-hq/newsom-obama-among-speakers-slated-for-democratic-national-convention/
Getting feeling that my first choice of Kamala Harris is not meant to be ?
PPP Minnesota poll... Biden +10!
Biden: 52%
Trump: 42%
Undecided: 6%
https://docs.google.com/viewer?url=https%3A%2F%2Fgiffords.org%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2020%2F07%2FMinnesotaResults2.pdf
Will voters turn out this Tuesday?
It seems that at least 2/3 of the news cycle is devoted to coronavirus. The demographic that does most poorly if infected are those >60-65. Having comorbidities can drag in a slightly younger, yet still aged, cohort into that risk pool. Its no secret that Biden polls disproportionately well with older folks.
Anyone concerned that proportion of voters may shift and significantly alter the margins on Tuesday the 17th?
(Sorry if this has been discussed in another post)
Latest 538 Projection (ST morning)
Yeesh...
[link:https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo|
Brokered: 61%
Biden: 31% (1740)
Sanders: 8% (1362)
Karl Rove predicts Biden has best chance to beat Trump
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/elections-2020/karl-rove-predicts-trump-win-if-biden-is-not-2020-democratic-nominee/ar-BBYwn62?li=BBnbfcLA Republican strategist commenting on the race. Take it FWIW.
This is ALL about optimizing chances of an electoral college victory.
Profile Information
Gender: MaleHometown: Illinois
Home country: USA
Member since: Wed Dec 11, 2019, 08:27 PM
Number of posts: 391