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Claustrum's Journal
Claustrum's Journal
November 11, 2022

New summary of votes remaining in NV from Clark County elections department

50,030 mail ballots to be count
15,900 will be tabulated today
34,130 are at tray inspection and counting board (not all will be counted today)

Not included above
9,659 ballots to cure
5,555 provisional ballots


EDIT: Assuming we get 60k votes from Clark and CCM gets 60% of the votes, she will get 12,000 votes more than Laxalt. It looks like it will be close but it's very possible that CCM will get 65+% and have a much higher lead than this.

There is also about 20k votes from Washoe which came in 60%+ for CCM yesterday.

Conclusion, I think there is more than enough votes for CCM to win.

November 11, 2022

LOL.... Republicans are so angry with Wasserman for calling AZ for Kelly last night

that he was forced to post a disclaimer.

Disclaimer: as has always been the case, the personal judgments offered by this account regarding election results are not official race "calls" and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Cook Political Report, NBC News or any other entity.


I've seen enough: Sen. Mark Kelly (D) wins reelection in #AZSEN, defeating Blake Masters (R).


November 11, 2022

Oh no... Wasserman just said it's hard to see Boebert losing with new votes that came in

extending her lead to 1136. He is not calling the race yet but well....

Now that #CO03 Rep. Lauren Boebert (R) has expanded her lead over Adam Frisch (D) to 1,136 votes with additional ballots counted in blue-leaning Pueblo County, much tougher to see her losing.


November 10, 2022

Ralston said that if Cortez keeps up the 60+% of votes like the first batch in NV

she will be ahead out of the 84k votes that's expected to be counted.

First Clark dump of only 14K new ballots and CCM reduces statewide deficit to 18K.

Ds have to love first dump, gaining 5K out of first 14K ballots, with 65 percent to 30 percent spread.

That's first 14K of 84K in Clark.

If margins continue like that, she will be ahead.



November 10, 2022

Ralston just said there are 61k votes in the drop boxes mentioned earlier today for NV

So there will be roughly 145k more votes. Ralston said the democratic party wanted it to be in the 100k+ range from the drop boxes. So we are probably a bit short. It will be a close one depending on the mail in ballots that will be coming in throughout the week.

Also, as
reminds me, there are 4K more that went into Washoe today, so the total is 61K there and 145K overall.


November 9, 2022

President Biden is going to address the nation at 4pm according to MSNBC

Assuming he will be talking about the mid term.

November 9, 2022

Ralston thinks Cortez Masto still has a good chance to catch up in NV

Here's the math, folks:
If there are 100K mail ballots left in Clark, which would make sense based on turnout there, and the Dems win by the 2-to-1 margin they have so far, CCM could come back to win. More uphill for Sisolak but he's not quite dead yet.

Also: 16K mail in Washoe.


November 9, 2022

Just want to point out, if the number pan out that we won with increased youth turnout,

part of it is because of the student loan debt relief program. I was on the fence with the program but Biden once again proves that he knows the electorate more than a lot of us. Once again, trust Biden. He and his team knows his stuff.

November 9, 2022

LOL... Ari flat out called McConnell the turtle on air

He forgot he should have called his real name LOL

November 9, 2022

MSNBC projected Kathy Hochul has won re-election for NY governor.

Everyone who were worried don't have to anymore. I was confident she would win.

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