WarGamer
WarGamer's JournalMy former Rep, Mike Garcia (R) has claimed victory in Ca-27
I adopted Julia Brownley in my newly drawn District...
Garcia is up by like 16k which is a ton. Brownley is up by 10k over the GOP'er and she's got it for sure.
I'm trying to wrap my head around some polling irregularities... re Trump and the GOP
Emerson College, in the last several weeks began including a hypothetical Trump vs Biden question to their polls.
Trump polled well... winning a lot of States by 10+, tied in PA and leading in WI, AZ and GA.
Trump endorsed clowns failed miserably this week.
First, one could just say the poll is garbage. Maybe it is. Emerson 2022 polls were solidly 2-5% too high for GOP'ers
But what's the deal?
Does Trump poll better than the GOP as as whole? Are there a subsection of voters who will only come out for Trump?
As I read the news... everyone tells me how toxic Trump is. And logically... I agree.
But then... there are those polls.
Here's a random story from Colorado:
https://kdvr.com/news/politics/election/poll-coloradans-choose-biden-trump-gains-independent-support/
DENVER (KDVR) — More Coloradans say they would vote for President Joe Biden than former President Donald Trump in a hypothetical 2024 matchup, but the difference has narrowed over the last month.
The results of the FOX31 / Channel 2 / Emerson College Polling / The Hill Colorado poll conducted Oct. 26-29 show a plurality of voters would choose Biden.
Poll: Polis maintains double-digit lead over Ganahl in race for Colorado governor
Among voters of all political affiliations, 46.6% of respondents said they would reelect the incumbent Democratic president in 2024 if it were a choice between him and the Republican former president. Meanwhile, 39.4% said they would vote for Trump.
In the last month, both men have increased the share of Colorado voters who would cast a ballot for them, although Trump’s gain has been larger.
I just realized it... it isn't performative art or insanity. Lake is applying for a JOB!!
Caught some of her utterings on TV... really bat excrement stuff...
Then it hit me. After she loses, she's got dibs on the Trump VP-stakes.
Part of wargaming is putting yourself in the place of the loser.
Sometimes for fun you place yourself in the position of let's say...
Napoleon at Waterloo... or Lee at Gettysburg or a German General at Stalingrad.
You look at what they had to work with and postulate how they could have proceeded.
But If you put yourself in the position of titular head of the GOP TODAY in need of electoral wins in 2024 and beyond...
Damn, I'd rather be Napoleon.
Seriously. The GOP is dealing with problems that are seemingly insurmountable. The first problem is the Orange Thing. He's toxic and turns off like 70% of the population. Problem #2, Problem #1 is the most powerful force in the Party. Problem #3, demographics are working against the GOP. Problem #4, the GOP has a serious problem with women. Problem #5, the inmates are running the asylum. Previous GOP iterations have managed to keep the crazy pretty much under lock and key. Problem #6, Guns. Guns kill. GOP are very anti-crime but unwilling to attack the primary cause.
Seriously. Give me Napoleon's position and situation on June 18, 1815 and I'll rout the Coalition Armies more easily than I could devise a way for the GOP to win in 2024 or after.
Rep Sean Patrick Maloney becomes first DCCC Chair to lose election since 1980
Can't believe that NY was responsible for most of the pain in the House...
https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2022-midterm-election/
NOV. 9, 4:32 PM
(R) KEY RACE PROJECTED
ABC News is reporting that Republicans are projected to win two more seats in New York, which is turning into arguably the second-best state for the GOP in terms of House gains, after Florida. First, Republican Michael Lawler has just edged out Democratic Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney in the 17th District, a noteworthy result given Maloney led the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee this cycle, making him responsible for directing party efforts to defend the party’s House majority. This is the first time a DCCC chair has lost a general election since 1980
My takeaway from last night. There are fewer ideologically flexible voters than ever before.
In 2022 there really are very few undecideds.
You've got two immovable objects.
It's funny to look back...
Look at the landslides of Nixon and Reagan.
Look at the near-landslides of Obama (x2)
People left their bias and ideology "comfort zones"...
For the foreseeable future we're now looking at WW1-like trench warfare... trenches on the left and trenches on the right and no one is crossing over.
Soldiers who wanted water didn't cross over to the other sides trench... they just went without water. Voters who don't like inflation didn't abandon their core philosophies to support GOP'ers.
Still early, of course but Katie Porter looks safe.
That's a relief. Her opponent is a real scumbag.
My prediction for a slim GOP House win and a Dem Senate hold...
If that is the outcome...
The GOP will decide that if this election was THIS close... then the USA hasn't felt enough pain yet.
They will do EVERYTHING to push the nation into a recession/depression.
They will do NOTHING with the White House and Senate to improve things.
Their strategy being "We can only win in 24 if the country is a mess"
Cleopatra's long lost tomb may have finally been found 40ft beneath Egyptian temple
Don't hold your breath... but if it were true...
https://www.express.co.uk/news/science/1693798/cleopatra-ancient-egypt-update-lost-tomb-below-ground-archaeology-news-latest
While Ms Martinez has since admitted that there is only one percent chance of finding their remains, she said that should they stumble across the long-lost tomb, it would mark the "most important discovery of the 21st century".
She said: "I needed to come to Egypt…to see the remains of this temple, to be sure that it has the possibility of being the lost tomb of Cleopatra. This is the perfect place for the tomb of Cleopatra.
"If there’s a one percent chance that the last queen of Egypt could be buried there, it is my duty to search for her.
The Egyptian authorities said if Dr Martinez's team do successfully locate the tomb, it will be "the most important discovery of the 21st century".
Powerball Fairy visits Altadena, CA... (Pasadena-ish)
Within 50 miles of me...
Hope they enjoy it and make a lot of people happy including the blue collar people making their cars, homes... serving them at restaurants, bringing their drinks on planes and importing their Italian purses and Swiss watches.
In all probability they'll probably take the $600M, bury 500m into a Goldman Sachs Private Wealth Mgmt account and live off the returns... a perfect example how the wealthy hoard their assets to produce income.
Profile Information
Name: JGender: Male
Hometown: SoCal
Home country: USA
Current location: Socal
Member since: Mon Feb 1, 2021, 09:27 PM
Number of posts: 12,491