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chuckperth

(50 posts)
15. Huh?
Wed Oct 28, 2020, 12:45 PM
Oct 2020

Your numbers are confusing. GOP propaganda should not be parroted on this site. By the way, Biden is up with Independents by 7 to 10% nationally, he pulls 10% of R's, and trump gets 3% of Dems.

Your numbers show the strength of Biden's position, not the sky is falling nonsense that every other post on here reflects lately. Harry Enten said, particularly in Florida, former registered Independents and Dems, that have been consistently voting Republican for years, have recently switched their registration to Republican, so that 7-10% Indy margin may be closer to 10-13 in Florida, for Biden.

In Florida, 18-30 year olds have doubled their vote at this point (70% for Biden/mostly registered independent). Miami-Dade has been slow to count or even acknowledge receipt of mail-in ballots. Still, as of today, Dems have a 100k lead, and that is not including Independents.

Bottom line: these numbers do not reflect who these votes were cast for, but, reading and apllying the polls to these statistics, Biden is ahead and his lead will get a boost when Miami-Dade is all in the bank. Incedently, the white share of the vote is down 5% in Florida.

So which is it? sweetloukillbot Oct 2020 #1
Today's Early vote is GOP, total vote Dems lead by about 3.6 kansasobama Oct 2020 #5
The early lead is shrinking fast 246k now kitron Oct 2020 #6
Only? LisaL Oct 2020 #9
It's all Miami Dade's fault, dontcha know? sweetloukillbot Oct 2020 #16
Some analysis of the numbers here.... Roland99 Oct 2020 #14
I understand Miami dade is not turning out to vote. We can't win there without them Thekaspervote Oct 2020 #2
Define "not turning out to vote" LisaL Oct 2020 #7
Your position has been very clear greenjar_01 Oct 2020 #3
AGREED obamanut2012 Oct 2020 #18
Florida going to Florida Cosmocat Oct 2020 #4
Well at least you are consistently concerned! jcgoldie Oct 2020 #8
We don't need FL and there isn't a senate race. It would just be icing. nt Blasphemer Oct 2020 #10
We can't model the trend as covid changed all the rules Amishman Oct 2020 #11
Party registration is not party ID or voting intention Eid Ma Clack Shaw Oct 2020 #12
This message was self-deleted by its author BannonsLiver Oct 2020 #13
Not doom, want our Dem absentee ballots in somehow kansasobama Oct 2020 #17
CONTINUED CONCERN NOTED obamanut2012 Oct 2020 #19
This message was self-deleted by its author BannonsLiver Oct 2020 #24
Huh? chuckperth Oct 2020 #15
Not GOP propaganda- I want Floridians to throw light kansasobama Oct 2020 #20
Understood chuckperth Oct 2020 #23
For the millionth time, you can't analyze EV numbers based on prior years' models. Bleacher Creature Oct 2020 #21
Thanks - Also a new poll National Latino has Biden up by 3 kansasobama Oct 2020 #22
Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Florida Wednesday All vot...»Reply #15