Is there any way to get to a ceasefire in Ukraine?

[Wounded Bear]

6. It is always easier to start a war than to end one...

Last edited Wed Apr 27, 2022, 11:57 AM - Edit history (1)

Always. If they reach some kind of a stalemate, where neither side is advancing or retreating, maybe. Otherwise, any cease fire is extremely unlikely. After all, why quit when you're on a roll?

Putin has a pre-Cold War mindset and fancies himself as some kind of modern day Peter the Great, rebuilding the Greater Russian Empire. Hard to imagine anything changing while he remains in power and Russian politics have evolved to where he's the boss and it's difficult to see where the opposition would arise that could depose him. The Russian people have been fully propagandized to where most of them can't see the reality of their situation.

Escalation to a "grander" scale is pretty much on Putin. If he succeeds in Ukraine he will likely continue, as such authoritarians have throughout history. NATO is a defensive alliance and won't attack Russia unless provoked by him. Allowing Putin free rein in Ukraine endangers them all individually and for the most part they know it, with some exceptions - the notable ones being Orban and the le Pen faction in France and others that are, thankfully, still minorities that don't have control of their governments.

Scary times, not unlike the late 30's, but with a more unified Europe than Hitler faced. Thankfully, Biden has managed to keep it that way.