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Mr.WeRP

(1,098 posts)

5. Gender turnout rates always have Women leading by 2-4 points

Reply to Doodley (Reply #4)

Sun Nov 3, 2024, 06:46 PM

Nov 2024

I am being conservative in my estimation of 5 point advantage to turnout of Men on Tuesday as this would tighten the gender gap but still be inline with the gap in past elections with a light bump for 2024, as I think this election has truly motivated women to get out and vote.

For historical gender data of elections, I used this: https://cawp.rutgers.edu/facts/voters/gender-differences-voter-turnout

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Doodley W_HAMILTON

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77 Million Have Voted, 32 million mail-in ballots outstanding; Iowa in Play! FINAL Swing State Early Vote Update! [View all] Mr.WeRP Nov 2024 OP

MAGA will shit the bed when they see how fucked up their chances are and how Orange Bastard is a fuckface loser. SoFlaBro Nov 2024 #1

I think some of them already are Mr.WeRP Nov 2024 #2

Harris will metaphorically kick the candied shit out of these MAGA fuckstain and their shitty Orange Bastard SoFlaBro Nov 2024 #3

I hunger for it too... Mr.WeRP Nov 2024 #7

I hope that pans out, but where does the assumption that men outnumber women by only 5% on election day? Doodley Nov 2024 #4

Gender turnout rates always have Women leading by 2-4 points Mr.WeRP Nov 2024 #5

Thanks! Sounds good. Doodley Nov 2024 #6