General Discussion

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)

110. Via huff post

Wed Nov 6, 2013, 01:37 AM

Nov 2013

This is going to recount (my opinion, no candidate concedes this close)

Virginia Attorney General
Mark Herring and Mark Obenshain, both state senators, are competing in what is expected to be the closest of Virginia's three statewide races.

Mark Obenshain 1,096,746 50.0%
Mark Herring 1,095,926 50.0%
99% reporting

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179 replies

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Looks like we lost the VA AG race. [View all] longship Nov 2013 OP

And your credentials are? itsrobert Nov 2013 #1

120 precincts left to report. longship Nov 2013 #3

Remind me to never listen to longship when it comes to predicting election results. StrictlyRockers Nov 2013 #119

MSNBC doesn't have that. elleng Nov 2013 #2

A link below Tx4obama Nov 2013 #4

Now it's 21,000 votes ahead for Obenshain. longship Nov 2013 #5

Looks like game over at 10:08 PM EST rdharma Nov 2013 #6

I'm seeing about 21,000... TeeYiYi Nov 2013 #7

Sorry. Typo on my post. Will fix. longship Nov 2013 #8

Sadly, yes... TeeYiYi Nov 2013 #11

Now 18,091... TeeYiYi Nov 2013 #9

It's getting closer Robbins Nov 2013 #10

Sorry to pop your balloon, but we're going to lose this one. longship Nov 2013 #12

Then so be It Robbins Nov 2013 #14

Still 50 precincts to report... TeeYiYi Nov 2013 #16

It's not about the percentage, it's about the vote margin. longship Nov 2013 #18

Oh come on... It's 17,971 now... TeeYiYi Nov 2013 #21

This message was self-deleted by its author CreekDog Nov 2013 #123

Back off. It's tightened up. And there's an anomaly in one of the counties that favors Herring. longship Nov 2013 #126

This message was self-deleted by its author CreekDog Nov 2013 #130

Hey, back off! He's the boy who cried "Wolf!" Give him a break. StrictlyRockers Nov 2013 #135

Says the person who jumped into the thread at 1:22 am. longship Nov 2013 #174

Okay! Are you going to self-delete, too? longship Nov 2013 #175

You're hilarious. StrictlyRockers Nov 2013 #176

BANG! Pretzel_Warrior Nov 2013 #143

not entirely lost yet renegade000 Nov 2013 #17

yeah fairfax county had a pretty lame absentee turnout... renegade000 Nov 2013 #34

actually, fairfax absentee numbers appear to be updating renegade000 Nov 2013 #64

Not giving up yet (n/t) Neurotica Nov 2013 #13

What are the recount rules in VA? Motown_Johnny Nov 2013 #15

It can be contested if the margin is within 1% of all votes. StrayKat Nov 2013 #20

This is going to be within 1%. Motown_Johnny Nov 2013 #24

A mouse could starve on the difference Aerows Nov 2013 #19

Nope. 18,000 votes and R with over 50%. longship Nov 2013 #22

the math doesn't work Motown_Johnny Nov 2013 #25

Norfolk goes very blue, and they have 13 precincts still outstanding. StrayKat Nov 2013 #23

Well, that's why they haven't called it yet. longship Nov 2013 #28

Yeah, it's pretty much done now. StrayKat Nov 2013 #29

22027 with 98.50% (38 precincts left to report) TeeYiYi Nov 2013 #26

Unfortutly this means he probally wins Robbins Nov 2013 #27

Yeah, I know. But it's fun to watch a photo finish. :) TeeYiYi Nov 2013 #30

Probably not close enough for a recount. longship Nov 2013 #32

Shit. calimary Nov 2013 #31

TOTALLY SUCKS ! Due to lower than expected Dem turnout. Simple as that. CHRIST !! RBInMaine Nov 2013 #33

No, ticket splitting... brooklynite Nov 2013 #35

15,681 vote difference with 98.98% reporting and 26 precincts left. TeeYiYi Nov 2013 #36

1% = around 20,000 votes Motown_Johnny Nov 2013 #37

its 50% 50% on msnbc kydo Nov 2013 #38

And Obenshain's lead is down to around 12,000 now pinboy3niner Nov 2013 #40

RECOUNT! JaneyVee Nov 2013 #39

I doubt that there will be any recounts. longship Nov 2013 #54

Sorry, you're wrong demwing Nov 2013 #72

I posted that when the margin was a bit larger. longship Nov 2013 #151

Was I "throwing chairs"? demwing Nov 2013 #178

How many times can a person be wrong in their own thread? Pretzel_Warrior Nov 2013 #144

Gees, I am more than willing to be wrong. longship Nov 2013 #146

12,546 at 99.21% with 20 precincts left. TeeYiYi Nov 2013 #41

It's a 10,775 vote margin at last count (eom) StevieM Nov 2013 #42

OMG...it looks like it is down to 1,337 votes!! We'll have to wait for the MSNBC ticker to come up StevieM Nov 2013 #43

I just saw that wow kydo Nov 2013 #45

Your right Robbins Nov 2013 #47

If the GOP wins, then it is because of their chicanery with disqualifying legitimate voters. StevieM Nov 2013 #55

Sorry, I posted this is in the wrong place. Self-delete (eom) StevieM Nov 2013 #57

I just checked again....I believe it was 1,357 votes!!! (eom) StevieM Nov 2013 #44

Aside from being right, what are your qualifications? cthulu2016 Nov 2013 #46

I was very confused by your post until I checked inside and saw it was a joke StevieM Nov 2013 #49

D'ya mean other than I can count and do math? longship Nov 2013 #50

This message was self-deleted by its author CreekDog Nov 2013 #124

This message was self-deleted by its author longship Nov 2013 #136

yes, I'll back down CreekDog Nov 2013 #173

Just under 12,000 votes behind and 14 precincts uncounted. longship Nov 2013 #48

If you're reading the Virginia Board of Elections website, it is further behind than the networks.. StevieM Nov 2013 #51

Good point. Thanks. cthulu2016 Nov 2013 #56

7061 on the website... TeeYiYi Nov 2013 #52

Per AP, Dem Mark Herring within 1,300 votes in #VAAG. Tx4obama Nov 2013 #53

Wouldn't be a real election without at least one recount.... Rowdyboy Nov 2013 #60

It's probally going to go to recount Robbins Nov 2013 #63

Some hope at last. 7,000 votes and 12 pcts left. longship Nov 2013 #58

It's down to 1,1191 votes. At this point, the GOP voter suppression may decide the race (eom) StevieM Nov 2013 #59

bagger supperssion is why this and the gov race are close kydo Nov 2013 #62

What kind of number is that? longship Nov 2013 #67

Eleventy hundred, silly... /nt demwing Nov 2013 #82

dem gov will keep him inline Liberal_in_LA Nov 2013 #61

7 precincts unreported. 7,400+ behind. We're going to lose this one. longship Nov 2013 #65

1,589 vote margin at last count (eom) StevieM Nov 2013 #66

Not according to VA dept of elections. eom longship Nov 2013 #68

Down to around 900. The Democrat seems to be picking up a huge amount bluestate10 Nov 2013 #69

The margin is down to 928 votes!!! (eom) StevieM Nov 2013 #70

Nope. My posts come from VA Dept of Elections. longship Nov 2013 #71

Here's one... Gravitycollapse Nov 2013 #73

928 at 99%. Thanks for that. TeeYiYi Nov 2013 #79

I'm looking at msnbc kydo Nov 2013 #74

The MSNBC ticker is further ahead than the VA Board of Election. I am doing the quick math StevieM Nov 2013 #78

It is down to 778 votes at last count (eom) StevieM Nov 2013 #75

800 difference out of 2 million + votes cast? demwing Nov 2013 #77

And a lot of furor over the GOP voter suppression tactics (eom) StevieM Nov 2013 #80

99% in kydo Nov 2013 #76

Cite # of precincts left. I have it as 8. longship Nov 2013 #81

2533 of 2541 Precincts Reporting - 99% kydo Nov 2013 #83

Times Dispatch has those #s with 8 outstanding. n/t Chan790 Nov 2013 #84

The website is showing 7 pinboy3niner Nov 2013 #85

State link BumRushDaShow Nov 2013 #87

That's the one I'm looking at pinboy3niner Nov 2013 #89

Yup BumRushDaShow Nov 2013 #90

Good idea, thanks. I checked the 7 precincts remaining: pinboy3niner Nov 2013 #94

Percent precincts mean nothing now. How many is what counts. nt longship Nov 2013 #86

SBOE says 7 left and 4 of those seem to be Democratic urban areas Neurotica Nov 2013 #88

778 votes behind, 8 precincts left. A squeaker!! nt longship Nov 2013 #91

That's a lot better than 25,000... TeeYiYi Nov 2013 #92

I don't get it. The VA site says R ahead by 7,459 votes with 7 pcts not reported. longship Nov 2013 #93

The VA site is behind Robbins Nov 2013 #95

By # of pcts, the VA site is ahead! longship Nov 2013 #97

This link has been updating... TeeYiYi Nov 2013 #98

Who knows... TeeYiYi Nov 2013 #96

They may be including the latest absentee ballot counts pinboy3niner Nov 2013 #107

the media calls the precincts themselves CreekDog Nov 2013 #127

My last count (via MSNBC ticker) is a 1,164 vote margin (eom) StevieM Nov 2013 #99

Same... TeeYiYi Nov 2013 #101

Times-Dispatch reports 1,164 votes with 7 pcts unreported. longship Nov 2013 #100

well Robbins Nov 2013 #102

*** Warren DeMontague Nov 2013 #104

Still hope!! RandySF Nov 2013 #103

I see Robbins Nov 2013 #105

last spread I saw was 778 votes chillfactor Nov 2013 #106

It is well within recount territory now nadinbrzezinski Nov 2013 #108

Welcome, Nadine. Looks like a squeaker. longship Nov 2013 #111

The state at times is behind in releasing the raw data nadinbrzezinski Nov 2013 #112

Of remaining precincts, 4 are in blue areas, 3 in red pinboy3niner Nov 2013 #113

5 remaining. Last 2 Norfolk in. Chan790 Nov 2013 #116

Those last Norfolk precincts were not blue enough. YoDaddyWags Nov 2013 #117

welcome to DU gopiscrap Nov 2013 #120

I think some of Roanoke is still out. The oustanding vote definitely favors Herring. StevieM Nov 2013 #122

Is it? YoDaddyWags Nov 2013 #132

The numbers/precinct info keeps changing, it is hard to say. But more good info just came in. StevieM Nov 2013 #137

Latest vote count is a 153 vote margin, not incuding the vote adjustments from mis-reporting StevieM Nov 2013 #139

VA law has no automatic recount. The loser of less than 1% must request one. Gravitycollapse Nov 2013 #114

That latest count has the margin at 820 votes (eom) StevieM Nov 2013 #109

Via huff post nadinbrzezinski Nov 2013 #110

820 votes difference. 5 pcts unreported. longship Nov 2013 #115

Projects to a 1038 vote deficit YoDaddyWags Nov 2013 #121

Actually, Obama beat Romney 6456 to 5000 in those 5 precincts StevieM Nov 2013 #125

Ah. Please shred my projections, then. YoDaddyWags Nov 2013 #140

Welcome to DU!! I think that the voter turnout is lower but it should still net him at least StevieM Nov 2013 #152

Potentially big news!! There may have been a reporting error in Loudon County!! StevieM Nov 2013 #118

I can't figure out if this is 600 uncounted votes or a 1,200 swing. longship Nov 2013 #129

It is a 610 vote pickup. There may be another mis-reporting event that cost Obenshain 200 votes, but StevieM Nov 2013 #134

So, with that news, where we now stand is... StrictlyRockers Nov 2013 #131

Down to 153 votes... PoliticAverse Nov 2013 #128

where are you getting the feed? grasswire Nov 2013 #133

here are good sources. Chan790 Nov 2013 #138

Good twitter feed. Thanks. ..nt TeeYiYi Nov 2013 #150

Here at the top of the page... TeeYiYi Nov 2013 #141

And that is not including the vote corrections (eom) StevieM Nov 2013 #142

How many precincts left to report? longship Nov 2013 #145

Still 5 per Times-Dispatch. n/t Chan790 Nov 2013 #148

Times-Dispatch has not updated for a while. longship Nov 2013 #153

5 per AP as well. Chan790 Nov 2013 #156

Yeah! When I saw that DU post, I kind of figured that. longship Nov 2013 #159

I think that puts Herring up by 264. StevieM Nov 2013 #147

Everyone will have to wait for the recount... n/t PoliticAverse Nov 2013 #149

Pretty much said as much above nadinbrzezinski Nov 2013 #154

Where are you getting this number? Please provide citation. longship Nov 2013 #155

5 precincts... PoliticAverse Nov 2013 #160

Best not to make absolute statements, particularly when data and information are limited. Zorra Nov 2013 #157

NEW THREAD: Looks like we may have WON the Virginia Attorney General race. Coyotl Nov 2013 #158

Edit: Obenshain now down 616. Chan790 Nov 2013 #161

you mean down... st17011864200074656 Nov 2013 #162

Yeah, i just corrected that. thanks. n/t Chan790 Nov 2013 #168

You mean Herring is now up 616. n/t PoliticAverse Nov 2013 #164

oops/ Chan790 Nov 2013 #165

Ha! I read it wrong too, lol. pinboy3niner Nov 2013 #169

No. Your post shows Herring ahead. TeeYiYi Nov 2013 #166

Yeah, i just corrected that. n/t Chan790 Nov 2013 #167

I agree. Let's move to another thread. longship Nov 2013 #163

But this is the best thread of the night! alcibiades_mystery Nov 2013 #170

Agreed... TeeYiYi Nov 2013 #172

LOL, good move, longship. Well played. n/t StrictlyRockers Nov 2013 #171

Somebody kick both and grab a screenshot... (nt) Recursion Nov 2013 #177

That would be childish itsrobert Nov 2013 #179