General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Reuters: Democratic support for Hillary drops 15 points since February [View all]Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)There are 3 intertwined issues with Hillary's run.
1) Will her candidacy inspire HUGE Democrat turnout?
2) IF she wins, will it lead to SCOTUS nominations
3) How can she govern effectively with Republican dominated Congress?
There are too many eggs in Hillary's basket
Democrats are the minority party in Congress.
We NEED a huge turnout to win seats, in part
because of gerrymandering.
Hillary supporters say we need to support
Hillary because she will nominate the next
SCOTUS replacements.
The Senate votes on SCOTUS nominees.
Without the Senate Hillary could not seat
any SCOTUS justices.
Without Congress, a Hillary presidency
would be a lame duck as republicans have
no interest or incentive to cooperate with Dems.
If you doubt this, just look at how they deal with Obama.
So the question is, can a Hillary run for president
create enough enthusiasm FOR HER, rather than against her,
to unseat republicans in Congress?
Hillary WILL mobilize the republicans to vote AGAINST her.
Gerrymandering gives the republicans an advantage.
Can Hillary mobilize the left and millenials to vote for her?
It does not seem likely.
And rather that accept responsibility for a
lackluster candidate, 3rd-Wayers will blame
the left for not voting hard enough for Hillary