General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: As much as I bash Obama, he is the only thing standing between us... [View all]Art_from_Ark
(27,247 posts)It is NOT crazy to be thinking 4 years ahead.
And I'm not counting unhatched chickens. Geez. I wrote "even if". That implies a measure of doubt.
But enough about semantics, take a look at precedence.
Even if Obama is re-elected, barring an emergency he is almost certainly not going to take any bold initiatives, at least none that will help the general public. If historical precedent and his own actions are any indication, he will likely be "treading water" if he wins. Moreover, precedent indicates that, if Obama is re-elected, he will lose seats in one or both houses of Congress in the mid-terms. Furthermore, there has only been ONE TIME in the entire post-Civil War history of the Democratic Party when the party has won more than two presidential elections in a row-- and that was in the period 1932-48. On top of that, there is no one in the Democratic Party today who really stands out from the crowd as strong presidential timber. So 2016 (assuming that Obama wins this year) will in all likelihood mean a clean slate for both sides, which historically favors the Republicans. On top of that, the party that wins a presidential election generally picks up seats in Congress. So no, it is NOT crazy to be thinking ahead to 2016.