SANDERS, CRUZ surging in ILLINOIS -- TRUMP IL campaign in disarray – UIC protest bounce

[alcibiades_mystery]

32. If Bernie wins Chicago, it will be the first major urban area he has won

OK, fine, let's not quibble about Portland, Maine and Austin, TX. Bernie lost Boston and Detroit by a lot. He got shellacked in New Orleans and Las Vegas and Atlanta and even NoVa. If he wins Chicago, that would be a complete reversal of his inability thus far to pull major urban centers, north, south, east, or west. Whether Rahm-hate is able to get him there is an open question. I think probably progressives over-estimate its effects. I don't see it happening: Chicago is a moderate Dem town. I'd be surprised if Bernie pulled more than 40% of the vote from Chicago proper. The northern suburbs will have the same voting pattern as the eastern townships of Greater Boston. Bernie will need to run up big leads in northern, western, and southern Illinois, just as he did in the traditionally Republican areas of Massachusetts.

On Edit: That said, there are reports of high turnout for early voting, so I suspect usual expectations are off the table. I reported on some myself here:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511477147