New PPP polls of all five Tuesday states.... [View all]
Clinton is better positioned in the Southern states voting on Tuesday. She leads 57/32 in Florida, and 56/37 in North Carolina. She benefits in Florida from it being a closed primary state- her lead with Democrats is comparable to what it is in the three Midwestern states voting on Tuesday but that’s the entire electorate in the Sunshine State, putting her in a strong position. In North Carolina, Clinton has already accrued a huge lead during early voting. Among those who have already cast their ballots she leads 68/29, and the race only gets closer overall because her advantage is a tighter 50/40 spread among those planning to vote on Election Day.
Clinton leads Bernie Sanders just 46/41 in Ohio and 48/45 in Illinois, while narrowly trailing Sanders in Missouri 47/46. Ohio, Illinois, and Missouri are all open primary states and Sanders is benefiting from significant support from independent voters and a small swath of Republicans planning to vote in each state, putting him in position to potentially pull an upset sweep of the region on Tuesday night:
State Overall Democrats Independents Republicans
OH Clinton 46-41 Clinton 55-37 Sanders 53-20 Sanders 56-21
IL Clinton 48-45 Clinton 59-37 Sanders 69-18 Sanders 62-23
MO Sanders 47-46 Clinton 56-39 Sanders 62-23 Sanders 66-23
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/
Well, there we go--Independents and Republicans might in enough numbers cause mischief in the Democratic primaries tomorrow.
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