2016 Postmortem

jfern

(5,204 posts)

16. 538 has been a total joke this primary

Fri Sep 25, 2015, 08:08 PM

Sep 2015

It's amazing how bad this prediction that Webb would be the anti-Hillary is.

Who matches that profile?

Webb, for one. He has been both a Democrat and Republican. Maybe Brian Schweitzer, the former Montana governor who mixes liberal and conservative positions and is not a fan of the Washington, D.C., establishment. A candidate like Joe Biden, who has been in Washington for over 40 years — probably not.

Meanwhile, more liberal candidates like Dean, Warren and independent Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont match the anti-establishment part of the equation. They may, however, be too liberal to take advantage of Clinton’s “weakness” among moderate and conservative voters.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/casting-the-ideal-challenger-to-hillary-clinton/

So, even though both Webb and Hillary are running, Hillary + Webb < Biden + Sanders in the polls

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Fivethirtyeight: Bobby Jindal could win Iowa [View all] twii Sep 2015 OP

Nate has seriously lost it.....n/t monmouth4 Sep 2015 #1

Sleeper.....translation: HooptieWagon Sep 2015 #2

fivethirtyeight has sunk to the level of reading tea leaves tularetom Sep 2015 #3

done.. frylock Sep 2015 #7

WTF? Trajan Sep 2015 #4

I can't imagine a cat being a fan of Booby. hifiguy Sep 2015 #8

Message auto-removed Name removed Sep 2015 #5

Harry Enten is about at Dick Morris levels of political predictions jfern Sep 2015 #17

And I might be able to flap my arms and fly to the moon. hifiguy Sep 2015 #6

I tell you Robbins Sep 2015 #9

Don't read too much into the article's title. cheapdate Sep 2015 #12

He should have stayed with sports. HooptieWagon Sep 2015 #10

I've got a better chance of winning Iowa. Sheesh. Vinca Sep 2015 #11

Apparently none of you all read the article dsc Sep 2015 #13

Same guy who said Bernie surge was over and Clinton will win NH ram2008 Sep 2015 #14

Jindal could pick up his own, Perry's, Walker's, Gilmore's, Pataki's and Santorum's support rurallib Sep 2015 #15

538 has been a total joke this primary jfern Sep 2015 #16

That article was written by a 24 year old "analyst" oberliner Sep 2015 #19

Too many social conservative nuts with whom he's competing. Garrett78 Sep 2015 #18

By the same author of: The Bernie Sanders Surge Appears To Be Over (Aug 11) oberliner Sep 2015 #20

I'm not sure he's been proven wrong. Garrett78 Sep 2015 #22

. aidbo Sep 2015 #21

Isn't 538 busy number crushing post season baseball stats right now? nt TeamPooka Sep 2015 #23