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Reply #19: Combine this with the latest Rocky Mountain News Poll [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
abumbyanyothername Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-25-08 02:05 PM
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19. Combine this with the latest Rocky Mountain News Poll
and I estimate a lead for Obama of approximately 50,000 votes*. This is an 8-9% margin, and that is less than what the RMN poll shows statewide.

And that is without factoring a higher number of Republican cross-overs (highly likely).

* Obama is leading better than 2:1 (58 to 27) among Independents in the RMN poll. So of 131,000 Independent voters, Obama is likely to have an edge of at least 44,000 votes. Then add the 4,000 extra Democrats and get 48,000. Round up to 50,000.
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