PA Resident's Analysis on why Tweety is running [View All]

[AllentownJake]

I don't think Tweety would give up his comfortable job on MSNBC if he didn't think he had a shot of winning. Here is my analysis on how Tweety could possibly win in PA.

1) Specter either doesn't run or loses in the primary. Specter only won the PA primary for Senate by 2 points in 2004. Since than over 150,000 voters have left the GOP for the democratic party. Specter would have a very difficult battle in the current GOP to win against a conservative candidate. Pat Toomey hasn't ruled out a run in 2010 and there are other nutjobs who would love to take out the man they consider the biggest Rhino.

2) Tweety gets the party establishment behind him. If Tweety can get the party establishment to pretty much endorse him he faces the same problem Obama did during the PA primary. PA still has a very strong democratic machine.

3) A conservative vs. Tweety would be a very easy race for Tweety to win. Santorum never burnished his conservative credentials till after he became part of the Leadership. PA is a moderate state.