Reply #2: It'll be a coat-tails election in the House [View All]

[FBaggins]

A number of those freshmen are weak (not that a whopping 2-3 months into the terms says much). If the President wins comfortably, a great many of them will swing back our way.

If the presidential election is close or the Republican wins, few of those seats will be in much danger.

On edit - this guesstimate ignores the impact of redistricting... which could be quite substantial on a number of these seats.