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ClearSky24
ClearSky24's Journal
ClearSky24's Journal
July 17, 2024
Donald Trump's chances of winning election are declining
https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-polling-data-five-thirty-eight-1926226Donald Trump's chances of winning the November 2024 presidential election are declining, according to a new aggregation of polls.
FiveThirtyEight's poll tracker, which was originally published on July 8 and updated on July 16, shows Joe Biden with a 53 percent chance of winning the election, while Trump has a 46 percent chance.
According to the tracker, Biden is favored to win in 534 out of 1,000 of FiveThirtyEight's simulations of how the election could go, while Trump wins in 462. The poll also shows that the simulations indicate that Biden is on track for a three-point win.
The polling website said its forecast is based on a combination of polls and campaign "fundamentals," such as economic conditions, state partisanship and incumbency.
It comes after a Presidential Voting Intention poll of 3,601 swing state voters by Redfield & Wilton Strategies, found that Trump's margins over President Joe Biden have narrowed since June in two key swing states: Florida and North Carolina.
Trump previously defeated Biden in both states in 2020, while he held a six-point lead over Biden in Florida in a Redfield & Wilton Strategies poll from that June.
FiveThirtyEight's poll tracker, which was originally published on July 8 and updated on July 16, shows Joe Biden with a 53 percent chance of winning the election, while Trump has a 46 percent chance.
According to the tracker, Biden is favored to win in 534 out of 1,000 of FiveThirtyEight's simulations of how the election could go, while Trump wins in 462. The poll also shows that the simulations indicate that Biden is on track for a three-point win.
The polling website said its forecast is based on a combination of polls and campaign "fundamentals," such as economic conditions, state partisanship and incumbency.
It comes after a Presidential Voting Intention poll of 3,601 swing state voters by Redfield & Wilton Strategies, found that Trump's margins over President Joe Biden have narrowed since June in two key swing states: Florida and North Carolina.
Trump previously defeated Biden in both states in 2020, while he held a six-point lead over Biden in Florida in a Redfield & Wilton Strategies poll from that June.
July 13, 2024
Donald Trump trashes Republicans after amendment loses by 'only one vote'
https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-amendment-loses-defund-prosecutions-1924722Donald Trump has lashed out at several Republican congressmen after an amendment to defund criminal prosecutions of the former president failed by "only one vote."
In a post on Truth Social he attacked Idaho Rep. Mike Simpson after he "stupidly" voted "no" on the amendment that would have prohibited the use of federal and state funding for the prosecution of any presidential candidate prior to November's election.
The amendments to the Commerce, Justice, Science, and Related Agencies (CJS) Appropriations Bill, introduced by Georgia Rep. Andrew Clyde, failed to pass by a vote of 25-26.
Trump also blamed House Republicans on the Appropriations Committee who did not show up to vote on the amendment.
Writing on Truth Social, Trump said: "Just heard from Great Congressman Andrew Clyde of Georgia that the Amendment to Defund the Prosecution of a Presidential Candidate prior to November's Election did not pass, 26-25.
"It lost by only one vote, because one Republican, Mike Simpson of Idaho, stupidly voted NO, and two 'Republicans,' David Valadao of California and Dan Newhouse of Washington, the only two remaining Impeachers in the House of President Donald J. Trump, didn't show up to vote,' Trump added.
"They must have had more important things to do. Also, Mike Garcia of California, David Joyce of Ohio, and Juan Ciscomani of Arizona, didn't show up to vote. Thanks very much, fellas, for your great support!"
In a post on Truth Social he attacked Idaho Rep. Mike Simpson after he "stupidly" voted "no" on the amendment that would have prohibited the use of federal and state funding for the prosecution of any presidential candidate prior to November's election.
The amendments to the Commerce, Justice, Science, and Related Agencies (CJS) Appropriations Bill, introduced by Georgia Rep. Andrew Clyde, failed to pass by a vote of 25-26.
Trump also blamed House Republicans on the Appropriations Committee who did not show up to vote on the amendment.
Writing on Truth Social, Trump said: "Just heard from Great Congressman Andrew Clyde of Georgia that the Amendment to Defund the Prosecution of a Presidential Candidate prior to November's Election did not pass, 26-25.
"It lost by only one vote, because one Republican, Mike Simpson of Idaho, stupidly voted NO, and two 'Republicans,' David Valadao of California and Dan Newhouse of Washington, the only two remaining Impeachers in the House of President Donald J. Trump, didn't show up to vote,' Trump added.
"They must have had more important things to do. Also, Mike Garcia of California, David Joyce of Ohio, and Juan Ciscomani of Arizona, didn't show up to vote. Thanks very much, fellas, for your great support!"
July 11, 2024
https://x.com/VaughnHillyard/status/1811402883604050216
"Our movement": In resurfaced speech, Trump endorses Heritage Foundation's Project 2025
https://www.salon.com/2024/07/11/our-movement-in-resurfaced-speech-endorses-heritage-foundations-project-2025Donald Trump's remarks prove he knows exactly who's behind the far-right plan to use his office to reshape America
Donald Trumps backtracking on Project 2025 didnt seem to fool many aside from a few hard-line loyalists who expressed betrayal but apparent proof of his knowledge and endorsement of the far-reaching plan further weakens his claim that he knows nothing.
In an April 2022 speech before the Heritage Foundation the ultra-right group behind the 922-page policy manifesto Trump acknowledged exactly the kind of work they're doing and applauded them for lay[ing] the groundwork for his next administration.
Theyre going to lay the groundwork and detail plans for exactly what our movement will do, Trump said of the Heritage Foundation and their efforts to as they describe on the Project 2025 website pave the way for Trumps next administration.
Donald Trumps backtracking on Project 2025 didnt seem to fool many aside from a few hard-line loyalists who expressed betrayal but apparent proof of his knowledge and endorsement of the far-reaching plan further weakens his claim that he knows nothing.
In an April 2022 speech before the Heritage Foundation the ultra-right group behind the 922-page policy manifesto Trump acknowledged exactly the kind of work they're doing and applauded them for lay[ing] the groundwork for his next administration.
Theyre going to lay the groundwork and detail plans for exactly what our movement will do, Trump said of the Heritage Foundation and their efforts to as they describe on the Project 2025 website pave the way for Trumps next administration.
https://x.com/VaughnHillyard/status/1811402883604050216
July 11, 2024
Biden and Trump tied despite debate (ABC News/Washington Post/Ipsos poll)
https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/biden-age-campaign-poll/story?id=111825221&cid=social_twitter_abcnAmericans divide 46-47% between Biden and Trump if the election were today, almost identical to a 44-46% ABC/Ipsos poll result in April. Among registered voters (though theres plenty of time to register) its an absolute tie, 46-46%.
Were Vice President Kamala Harris to replace Biden as the Democratic nominee, vote choices are 49-46%, Harris-Trump, among all adults (and 49-47% among registered voters). Harris 49% is slightly better than Bidens 46%, although she doesnt have a statistically significant lead over Trump.
Were Vice President Kamala Harris to replace Biden as the Democratic nominee, vote choices are 49-46%, Harris-Trump, among all adults (and 49-47% among registered voters). Harris 49% is slightly better than Bidens 46%, although she doesnt have a statistically significant lead over Trump.
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