ITAL
ITAL's JournalObama may be next
This really would mean it's over if he's getting involved.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/07/18/obama-says-biden-must-consider-viability/
I know 538 isn't the be all, end all
In 2020 they called on Biden to win with 348 to 190 EVs (PV 53.4 to 45.4). They were off, as the result was 306 to 232 (51.3 to 46.8). So even though they're calling for Biden to win 277 to 261 right now (47.7 to 45.1 PV margin), given he's down in the polls, many people don't find their model inputting other factors very reassuring. Party bosses are flipping out.
I honestly still like his chances. Biden is only given a 54% chance of winning as of now - hardly better than a coin flip. And yet, I still see it as quite probable.
Perhaps it's something, perhaps nothing
I just saw that Xi Jinping may have seriously injured himself in a bad fall. Something to keep an eye on maybe?
https://x.com/jenniferzeng97/status/1813567866983031087
August 1864 Quotes
Regarding President Lincoln:
"From almost all points very bad news in relation to Mr. Lincoln's chances of re-election. The people at large seems not so enthusiastic for him now." Adam de Gurowski
"Mr. Lincoln is already beaten. We must have another ticket to save us from utter overthrow. If we such another ticket as could be had by naming Grant, Butler, or Sherman for President, and Farragut as Vice, we could make a fight yet." Horace Greeley
"I cannot believe that Mr. Lincoln, if fully advised of the state of the public mind, would desire to enter upon a canvass." Daniel S. Dickenson
"It may be that Mr. Lincoln will see that we shall be stronger and more united under another candidate." Charles Sumner
"The people regard Mr. Lincoln's candidacy as a misfortune. His apparent strength when nominated was fictitious, and now the fiction has disappeared, and instead of confidence there is distrust." Richard Smith
"It is rumored in New York, and that report is believed by many who are in a position to be well-informed, that at an early date, Abraham Lincoln will withdraw his name as a candidate for re-election, and urge the assembling of another nomination convention." --- Buffalo Courier newspaper
That's just a sampling.
Biden to visit Aisne-Marne Cemetery
This is the same one that Trump skipped out on because it was raining.
https://www.connexionfrance.com/news/why-us-president-biden-is-going-to-aisne-this-weekend/663479
(Aisne-Marne is beautiful...my wife and I visited the area in 2018)
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