honest.abe
honest.abe's JournalI was in Atlanta area today and saw a huge line of people waiting to vote.
The area is East Cobb near Marietta and is considered a somewhat liberal, blue area according to our local friend. I did see one moron carrying a sign to vote for Walker. He looked like he was missing a few chromosomes so I don't think he was very convincing.
The people we visited while here are very focused on voting to make sure Warnock will win.
I also saw some very good local ads on TV supporting Warnock. I am feeling cautiously optimistic about this election.
Fingers crossed!
A clue tonight will be if Ivanka and Jared show up.
Rumors suggest they dont want to be involved in the Trump 2024 campaign to protect themselves and their family.
https://nypost.com/2022/11/14/trump-begging-jared-ivanka-to-join-him-for-campaign-launch-sources/
If they dont show that will be huge blow to Trump's ego and plans to use them to help his campaign.
Anyone know about this "box 3" controversy in Arizona?
Apparently there was some misinformation spreading about voters not to use "box 3" which caused a huge problem for election workers in AZ. This is being discussed right now on a live Maricopa election press conference.
I dont know the details on what this is about but apparently it was caused by some GOP leaders in AZ.
i did find this but still not not entirely sure what the issue is.
https://www.12news.com/article/news/politics/elections/decision/maricopa-county-box-3-trending-nationally-twitter/75-15855907-5a2b-4d07-8697-b1fa1757f781
Data Guru AZ: "This is it folks. The vast majority of what is left in Maricopa is incoming tonight."
https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1592266995697057792Please let this be the end of Poison Lake!
AZ MARICOPA COUNTY: We can expect next "vote drop" of results in 6pm hour, again. MST, of course.
I am assuming this vote drop should put an end to any speculation that Lake could win.
Finally!
https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1592254136221073409
AZ Gov big update just a few moments ago - Lake net gain +8,911 not near enough
97k ballots dropped in Maricopa
@KariLake 54.6%
@katiehobbs 45.4%
Lake net gain +8,911
Updated numbers:
KATIE HOBBS 50.5% 1,211,595
KARI LAKE 49.5% 1,185,584
I think this means Hobbs wins.
Ralston NV this morning: "if the trend continues, she [CCM] is going to win."
Bottom line: This first batch of 35K mail ballots shows a partisan breakdown that strongly favors CCM, and if the trend continues, she is going to win.
But miles to go before I can finally sleep, and we will know a LOT when Clark/Washoe post tonight.
There are alot numbers flying around his twitter account but the bottom line CCM is likely to win.
https://twitter.com/RalstonReports
NV: Tweet from Jon Ralston just a few moments ago.
This, from @JohnRSamuelsen, who has been unerring in his predictions of what is left to be reported because he has been tracking the mail file at Clark County, makes the most sense:
50K Clark ballots uncounted
26K counted and should be reported tonight.
We will find out soon.
This dump of 26K votes tonight should be telling.
I am beginning to think the likely outcome of these mid-terms is going to be good for us.
I know its not over but it does look like the R's will take the House and we keep the Senate.
Keeping the Senate allows Biden to get judges and other nominations approved. Also adds a firewall to stop any bogus legislation the House tries to push through although Biden would veto it anyway.
Republican control of the House will probably go to their head and will attempt to do crazy things just to harass Biden like investigations into Hunter Biden, the FBI and DOJ. These will fail and will remind voters Republicans are not fit to govern. But I think the biggest mistake they are going to make will be regarding the debt ceiling. I think they are going to hold the country hostage by not approving a debt ceiling increase. I think there will be a government shutdown and Biden wont flinch. I wont predict what specifically will happen but I believe Joe will win this face off and will come off looking like an amazing leader and make the Republicans look like desperate fools.
This will be an excellent precursor to the elections in 2024.
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